Q: How often does the tracker update?

The alignment tracker updates every 6 hours with current celestial positions scored against each city's validated pattern profile, generating a real-time 0-100 Alignment Index.

Q: Why were some cities rejected from the tracker?

San Francisco, Seattle, Lima, Mexico City, Jakarta, Taipei, and Athens were tested but failed 36-year backtesting validation. Only cities where models demonstrate statistically significant alignment lift across the full historical period are included.

Question 1

How does the celestial-seismic alignment tracker work?

Accepted Answer

We analyze over 67,000 historical M3.5+ earthquakes from the USGS database spanning 36 years (1990-2026). Each earthquake moment is compared against year-matched random controls using the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel stratified test. Only patterns appearing consistently across 30%+ of years and exceeding |Z| >= 5.0 are deployed.

Question 2

What cities are covered by the alignment tracker?

Accepted Answer

We monitor 7 seismically active regions: Los Angeles, Tokyo, Istanbul, Wellington (New Zealand), Santiago (Chile), Tehran (Iran), and Kathmandu (Nepal). Each city has a dedicated regional dataset and independently validated model.

Question 3

How accurate is the celestial-seismic alignment tracker?

Accepted Answer

Our models show statistically significant lift in M5+ earthquake occurrence during high alignment periods. For example, Wellington shows 2.32x lift (p=2.3e-08) and Los Angeles shows 2.00x lift (p=1.8e-06). These are historical statistical coincidence patterns, not earthquake predictions.

Question 4

What does High Alignment vs Low Alignment mean?

Accepted Answer

Low Alignment means current celestial conditions do not match historically active seismic patterns. High Alignment means current celestial conditions match patterns that have historically coincided with increased seismic activity in that region. The Alignment Index (0-100) indicates how strongly current conditions match.

Question 5

Is this a real earthquake prediction?

Accepted Answer

No. This tracker identifies historical celestial alignment patterns that have statistically coincided with seismic activity — it does not predict earthquakes. No published study has applied CMH year-stratified deconfounding with Bonferroni-exceeding thresholds to this domain. This is for research and entertainment purposes only.

Question 6

What statistical method is used?

Accepted Answer

We use the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel (CMH) stratified test with year-matched controls to eliminate seasonal and long-cycle artifacts. All factors must exceed |Z| >= 5.0, which is stricter than Bonferroni correction for 500+ simultaneous hypothesis tests (p < 0.0000003 per factor).

Question 7

How often does the tracker update?

Accepted Answer

The alignment tracker updates every 6 hours with current celestial positions scored against each city's validated pattern profile, generating a real-time 0-100 Alignment Index.

Question 8

Why were some cities rejected from the tracker?

Accepted Answer

San Francisco, Seattle, Lima, Mexico City, Jakarta, Taipei, and Athens were tested but failed 36-year backtesting validation. Only cities where models demonstrate statistically significant alignment lift across the full historical period are included.

Celestial-Seismic Alignment Tracker

How It Works

Historical Earthquake Data

Temporal Deconfounding

Significance Threshold

Alignment Scoring